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STMicroelectronics, following its EUR 7.5 billion wafer fab project with GlobalFoundries in Crolles, France. is set to invest EUR 5 billion in building a new SiC super semiconductor wafer fab in Catania, Sicily, Italy. The fab in Italy will specialize in producing SiC chips, a pivotal technology for electric vehicles with substantial growth potential, according to French media L’Usine Nouvelle on November 26th,
STMicroelectronics competitively plans to transition to 8-inch wafers starting from 2024. The company will integrate Soitec’s SmartSiC technology to enhance efficiency and reduce carbon emissions. Simultaneously, STMicroelectronics aims to increase capacity, achieve internal manufacturing, and collaborate with Chinese firm Sanan Optoelectronics to raise SiC chip-related revenue from the expected USD 1.2 billion in 2023 to USD 5 billion by 2030.
On June 7th earlier this year, STMicroelectronics and Sanan Optoelectronics announced a joint venture to establish a new 8-inch SiC device fab in Chongqing, China, with an anticipated total investment of USD 3.2 billion.
To ensure the successful implementation of this extensive investment plan, Sanan Optoelectronics said to utilize its self-developed SiC substrate process to construct and operate a new 8-inch SiC substrate fab independently.
TrendForce: over 90% SiC market share by major global players
According to TrendForce, the SiC industry is currently dominated by 6-inch substrates, holding up to 80% market share, while 8-inch substrates only account for 1%. Transitioning to larger 8-inch substrates is a key strategy for further reducing SiC device costs.
8-inch SiC substrates offer significant cost advantages than 6-inch substrates. The industry’s major players in China, including SEMISiC, Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical Co., Ltd. (JSG), Summit Crystal, Synlight Semiconductor, KY Semiconductor, and IV-SemiteC, are advancing the development of 8-inch SiC substrates. This shift from the approximately 45% of total production costs associated with substrates is expected to facilitate the broader adoption of SiC devices and create a positive cycle for major companies.
Not only Chinese companies but also international semiconductor giants like Infineon Technologies and Onsemi are actively vying for a share of the market. Infineon has already prepared the first batch of 8-inch wafer samples in its fab and plans to convert them into electronic samples soon, with mass production applications scheduled before 2030. International device companies like Onsemi and ROHM have also outlined development plans for 8-inch SiC wafers.
Currently, major companies hold over 90% of the market share, intensifying competition. A slowdown in progress could provide opportunities for followers. According to TrendForce, the market share of the top 5 SiC power semiconductor players in 2022 was dominated by STMicroelectronics (36.5%), Infineon (17.9%), Wolfspeed (16.3%), Onsemi (11.6%), and ROHM (8.1%), leaving the remaining companies with only 9.6%.
(Image: STMicroelectronics)
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According to a report from South Korean media ETNEWS, Samsung Electronics has appointed former Onsemi director Stephen Hong as Vice President to oversee the SiC (Silicon Carbide) power semiconductor business. They’ve also set up an internal department dedicated to SiC power semiconductors.
Stephen Hong, an expert in power semiconductors with around 25 years of experience at major global companies like Infineon, Fairchild, and Onsemi, is leading this effort after joining Samsung.
Stephen Hong is currently in the process of assembling a team for SiC commercialization, while actively engaging with South Korea’s power semiconductor industry ecosystem and academic institutions for market and business feasibility studies. It’s noteworthy that when Samsung officially ventured into the GaN (Gallium Nitride) business, it had also formed relevant business teams in advance.
It’s expected that Stephen Hong will be pivotal in devising the direction and strategies for Samsung’s SiC power semiconductor business. In addition, Samsung Electronics has commenced comprehensive preparations for the GaN power semiconductor business. Samsung’s commitment to this endeavor is underlined by its decision to acquire Aixtron’s latest MOCVD equipment, specifically for processing GaN and SiC wafers. This investment is estimated to be at least 700-800 billion Korean won, roughly equivalent to 0.54-0.62 billion US dollars.
Although Samsung’s third-generation semiconductor foundry business is expected to launch in 2025, it is currently in the research and sample stage, necessitating significant investments in equipment to support future mass production endeavors.
In accordance with TrendForce’s analysis, the global SiC power device market is projected to reach $2.28 billion in 2023, with a notable YoY growth of 41.4%. It is expected to expand to $5.33 billion by 2026.
Samsung made a strategic shift by planning to produce GaN and SiC semiconductors on 8-inch wafers, deviating from the common 6-inch approach and gaining industry attention. The increased focus on SiC aligns with the challenges faced by its wafer foundry business, where fluctuations in fab utilization rates significantly impact financial performance.
According to the most recent research from TrendForce, there’s an expectation that Samsung’s utilization rate for its 8-inch wafer fabrication facility could drop to 50% in 2024. This decline is largely due to a worldwide reduction in semiconductor demand, compounded by geopolitical factors, creating a tough business environment that has affected Samsung’s order volume.
As the demand for SiC and GaN power semiconductors continues to rise and Samsung confronts challenges in its Si wafer business, the company, along with competitors like DB Hitek and Key Foundry, is gearing up to launch 8-inch GaN foundry services. This strategic move is anticipated to come to fruition between 2025 and 2026.
In response to these multifaceted dynamics, Samsung has taken an accelerated approach to GaN and SiC, with the aim of capturing a more substantial market share and breathing new life into its traditional wafer foundry business.
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(Image: Samsung)
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Source to China Times, the International Semiconductor Industry Association (SEMI) forecasts that from 2023 to 2026, the global semiconductor industry will add 12 new 8-inch wafer fabs, with 8-inch fab monthly production capacity increasing by 14% to a historic high of 7.7 million wafers. In response, UMC stated that from a supply and demand perspective, capacity growth still lags behind demand growth. UMC emphasized that it remains optimistic about the future of the 8-inch wafer market, thanks to ongoing advancements in special processes and differentiation.
SEMI notes that the continuous rise in the penetration rate of electric vehicles (EVs) worldwide is driving substantial growth in the demand for inverters and charging stations. The future mass adoption of EVs is the primary driver for increased investments in 8-inch fabs and the continued expansion of global 8-inch fab capacity.
Examining the situation of new 8-inch fabs in various countries, Southeast Asia will see the largest capacity increase, with a growth rate of approximately 32%. SEMI predicts that China’s 8-inch fab capacity will follow, with an increase of about 22%, reaching a monthly production capacity of 1.7 million wafers. The United States, Europe, the Middle East, and Taiwan are expected to have growth rates of approximately 14%, 11%, and 7%, respectively.
SEMI reports that by 2023, China’s 8-inch fab capacity will account for approximately 22% of the global total, with Japan at around 16%, Taiwan at around 15%, and Europe, the Middle East, and the United States each at about 14%. Furthermore, to meet future market demand, suppliers such as Bosch, Infineon, Mitsubishi, Onsemi, and STMicroelectronics are accelerating their 8-inch fab capacity expansion. It is estimated that from 2023 to 2026, the 8-inch fab capacity for automotive and power semiconductors will increase by 34%.
Concerns have been raised about potential oversupply as global 8-inch fabs expand, but UMC, a major semiconductor foundry, states that given the current rate of 8-inch fab expansion worldwide, the increase in capacity is relatively modest compared to demand. From a supply and demand perspective, it is certain that capacity growth will not keep pace with the growing global demand for 8-inch wafers.
UMC further notes that while 8-inch fabs are increasing, demand is unlikely to remain stagnant. Currently, the majority of semiconductor fabs being built worldwide are 12-inch fabs, making the expansion of 8-inch fabs relatively limited, and the supply-demand balance has not worsened.
In-Depth Analyses
Onsemi, a semiconductor manufacturer, announced at the end of April that it had signed a Long-Term Supply Agreement for SiC power components with Zeekr, a subsidiary of Geely Auto Group. Geely Automotive will use Onsemi’s EliteSiC power components to optimize energy conversion efficiency in its electric drive system. This move signals Onsemi’s aggressive expansion in the automotive SiC market, catching up to leading manufacturers STMicroelectronics and Infineon.
In the SiC semiconductor market for electric vehicles, STMicroelectronics and Infineon have maintained their market leadership by entering the market early, while Wolfspeed and ROHM have gained traction through their vertical integration technology for SiC. On the other hand, Onsemi still lags behind in terms of market share for SiC power semiconductors, even though it acquired GT Advanced Technologies in 2021 and mastered the most difficult wafer growth and production equipment technology in SiC manufacturing. Before 2023, Onsemi was only used in small and medium-sized vehicle models such as NIO and Lucid.
However, Onsemi’s benefits begin to materialize in 2023, thanks to the industry maturity built by early players such as Infineon and STM, combined with Onsemi’s early deployment of SiC-related technology. Onsemi’s SiC product EliteSiC has obtained LTSA from Zeekr, BMW, Hyundai and Volkswagen in the form of discrete and modules. Its CEO, Hassane El-Khoury, has stated that the SiC business will generate $4 billion in revenue over the next three years compared to the total revenue for the 2022 SiC market of approximately $1.1 billion. These factors have made Onsemi the most talked-about semiconductor company in the SiC market this year.
However, the intense competition in the SiC market will test the endurance of resource input sustainability. The rapid growth in SiC demand over the past five years is mainly due to high battery costs and the development of energy density having reached its limit. Car manufacturers have switched to using SiC chips in their electronic components to increase driving range without increasing the number of batteries.
As a result, car manufacturers are aggressively pushing semiconductor companies to accelerate their research and development of SiC technology. This has resulted in a significant reduction in R&D time, but also an increase in R&D costs. Coupled with the impact of intense market competition on profits, the ability to sustain R&D resource input and overall profitability performance will be the key indicators of semiconductor companies’ competitiveness.
Onsemi has successfully improved its profitability performance by streamlining its product lines over the past few years, ranking at the top with a 49% gross margin, according to the financial reports of various semiconductor companies in 2022. This profitability performance allows Onsemi to meet car manufacturers’ cost requirements and secure orders, thereby achieving economies of scale in SiC product growth.
However, in terms of R&D costs as a percentage of revenue, Onsemi ranks last at 7%, compared to its main competitors Wolfspeed (26%), Infineon (13%), STM (12%), and ROHM (8%). With semiconductor companies investing more in technologies such as reducing on-resistance and improving yield rates, how to maintain a balance between profitability performance and resource expenditure while achieving revenue goals through intense market competition will be an important challenge for Onsemi after securing orders from car manufacturers.
(Source: Zeekr)
Insights
With the continuous deterioration of the global environment and the exhaustion of fossil fuel energy, countries around the world are looking for new energy sources suitable for human survival and development. The construction of photovoltaic energy storage projects is an important measure to implement energy transformation. Third-generation semiconductors have the characteristics of high frequency, high power, high voltage resistance, high temperature resistance, and radiation resistance, which can promote highly efficient, highly reliably, and low cost of photovoltaic energy storage inverters and the green and low-carbon development of energy.
SiC will be widely used in high-power string/central inverters, while GaN is more suitable for household micro-inverters
As the photovoltaic industry enters the era of “large components, large inverters, large-span brackets, and large strings,” the voltage level of photovoltaic power plants has increased from 1000V to over 1500V and high-voltage SiC power components will be used extensively in string and centralized inverters. For residential micro-inverters with a power of up to 5kW, GaN power components have more advantages. Not only can they significantly improve overall conversion efficiency, effectively reduce the levelized cost of energy (LCOE), but also allow users to easily build smaller, lighter, and more reliable inverters.
Key SiC substrates are crucial to the development of third-generation semiconductors and major manufacturers are competing to get to market
SiC substrate is regarded as the core raw material of third-generation semiconductors. Its crystal growth is slow and process technology complex. Mass production is not easy. Conductive substrates can produce SiC power electronic components while semi-insulating substrates can be used for the fabrication of GaN microwave radio frequency components. In addition, due to the high difficulty of substrate preparation, its value is relatively high. The cost of SiC substrate accounts for approximately 50% of the total cost of components which demonstrates its importance in the industrial chain.
At present, the supply of the global SiC market is firmly in the hands of substrate manufacturers. Wolfspeed, II-VI and SiCrystal (subsidiary of ROHM) together account for nearly 90% of shipments. IDM manufacturers such as Infineon, STM, and Onsemi are actively developing upstream SiC substrates and expect to take full advantage of the supply chain to strengthen their competitiveness. Everyone wants to get a piece of the pie, so the battle for SiC substrates will become more and more fierce, but the wait will not be long to see where the industry eventually goes in coming years.
(Image credit: Pixabay )