TrendForce Tech News https://www.trendforce.com/news TrendForce Tech News Wed, 22 May 2024 08:27:02 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=4.7.19 [Insights] Memory Spot Price Update: DRAM Price Down Again Due to Chip Supply Increase Led By Samsung https://www.trendforce.com/news/2024/05/22/insights-memory-spot-price-update-dram-price-down-again-due-to-chip-supply-increase-led-by-samsung/ https://www.trendforce.com/news/2024/05/22/insights-memory-spot-price-update-dram-price-down-again-due-to-chip-supply-increase-led-by-samsung/#respond Wed, 22 May 2024 08:26:44 +0000 https://www.trendforce.com/news/?p=9549 Continue reading ]]> According to TrendForce’s latest memory spot price trend report, sellers, in particular Samsung, have increased the chip supply, therefore pushing DRAM prices downward, while DDR4 products suffer from higher inventory. Regarding NAND Flash prices, the retail market is less willing in replenish orders, together with how wafer prices have been surging from the bottom, the depletion of spot prices could carry on. Details are as follows:

DRAM Spot Price:

The spot market has yet to show a demand turnaround; and sellers, in particular Samsung, have increased the chip supply, thereby pushing prices back down again. Looking at different types of DRAM products, module houses and channels have relatively high inventory levels for DDR4 products. Hence, the downward pressure on spot prices of DDR4 products is greater compared with spot prices of DDR5 products. Overall, even though contract prices have again registered significant increases in 2Q24, this rally has no positive effect on spot prices. Instead, spot transactions continue to show declining quantity, and the downward price pressure has become more pronounced. The average spot price of mainstream chips (i.e., DDR4 1Gx8 2666MT/s) has dropped by 1.19% from US$1.940 last week to US$1.917 this week.

NAND Flash Spot Price:

The Chinese government’s cracking down on smuggling of memory products, as well as the persistently sluggish demand from the retail market, have prompted module houses to amplify their sales intensity to actively pursue transactions, which led to a loosening in prices. Without replenishment of orders within the retail market, together with how wafer prices have surged from rock bottom to nearly 80% by now, the depletion of spot prices could carry on in the near future. Spot price for 512Gb TLC wafers has dropped by 2.61% this week, arriving at US$3.579.

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[News] Micron Slightly Raises Capital Expenditure for 2024, HBM Expected to Further Drive Revenue Growth in 2025 https://www.trendforce.com/news/2024/05/22/news-micron-slightly-raises-capital-expenditure-for-2024-hbm-expected-to-further-drive-revenue-growth-in-2025/ https://www.trendforce.com/news/2024/05/22/news-micron-slightly-raises-capital-expenditure-for-2024-hbm-expected-to-further-drive-revenue-growth-in-2025/#respond Wed, 22 May 2024 07:25:08 +0000 https://www.trendforce.com/news/?p=9526 Continue reading ]]> Micron Technology Inc., the American memory giant, has slightly increased its capital expenditure for this year (2024) and has not updated its financial forecasts for the second quarter (March to May).

According to reports from ReutersInvesting.com, and other global news outlets, Matt Murphy, the CFO of Micron, stated on May 21st that the company’s capital expenditure forecast for 2024 is expected to reach approximately USD 8 billion, up from the previous estimate of USD 7.5 billion. This increase is primarily attributed to investments in High Bandwidth Memory (HBM).

Micron’s Chief Operating Officer, Manish Bhatia, stated that the scale of the HBM business is expected to expand to several billion dollars in the 2025 fiscal year.

As per a previous report by Economic Daily News, Micron’s current 8-layer stacking model offers the advantage of higher heat dissipation efficiency, as fewer layers allow for better cooling, ensuring stable chip performance. Additionally, Micron is planning to launch a 12-layer stacked 36Gb DRAM chip. Per a report from Tom’s Hardware, this new chip’s capacity is expected to be 50% greater than that of the previous 8-layer stack.

In March, Micron CEO Sanjay Mehrotra indicated that the company’s HBM earmarked for AI applications are sold out for 2024, with much of the 2025 supply already allocated.

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(Photo credit: Micron)

Please note that this article cites information from Reuters and Investing.com.

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[News] Fabs Reportedly Depleting Inventory, Silicon Wafer Orders Expected to Resume in H2 https://www.trendforce.com/news/2024/05/22/news-fabs-reportedly-depleting-inventory-silicon-wafer-orders-expected-to-resume-in-h2/ https://www.trendforce.com/news/2024/05/22/news-fabs-reportedly-depleting-inventory-silicon-wafer-orders-expected-to-resume-in-h2/#respond Wed, 22 May 2024 05:55:02 +0000 https://www.trendforce.com/news/?p=9516 Continue reading ]]> Fab inventories have declined for two consecutive quarters, indicating that reducing excess stock may currently be the semiconductor industry’s top priority. According to industry sources cited in a report from Commercial Times, fabs are predicted to wait until the second half of 2024 to resume ordering silicon wafers.

According to the latest quarterly analysis report from SEMI, a major microelectronics association, global silicon wafer shipments in the first quarter of 2024 reached 2,834 million square inches (MSI), marking a 5.4% decrease from the previous quarter and a 13.2% decrease from the same period last year.

SEMI attributes this decline in silicon wafer shipments to the continuing decline in IC fab utilization and inventory adjustments. Consequently, shipments of silicon wafers of all sizes experienced negative growth in the first quarter of 2024.

Industry sources cited by the same report note that, based on recent trends in foundry orders, apart from TSMC, other semiconductor manufacturers have seen capacity utilization rates around 70%. Among these, DRAM and Flash memory wafer shipments have shown year-on-year increases of 20.3% and 1%, respectively, indicating better performance compared to previous periods.

Japanese silicon wafer manufacturer Sumco recently announced in its financial report that in the first quarter, overall demand for 12-inch silicon wafers had bottomed out. Demand for logic chips used in AI and DRAM had increased. However, for applications outside of AI, customers continued to adjust their production.

Sumco estimates that due to customer production adjustments and the recovery of silicon wafer demand, it may take until the second half of 2024 for the situation to improve.

Industry sources cited by Economic Daily News believe that most IC design companies have returned to normal days of inventory (DOI) and are prioritizing urgent orders for foundries. However, the inventory levels of fabs and memory fabs remain historically high, so they will primarily focus on digesting existing long-term contracts (LTA) in the short term.

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(Photo credit: TSMC)

Please note that this article cites information from Commercial Times and SEMI.

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[News] TSMC More Ambitious on CoWoS Capacity Expansion, Targeting 60% CAGR by 2026 https://www.trendforce.com/news/2024/05/22/news-tsmc-more-ambitious-on-cowos-capacity-expansion-targeting-60-cagr-by-2026/ https://www.trendforce.com/news/2024/05/22/news-tsmc-more-ambitious-on-cowos-capacity-expansion-targeting-60-cagr-by-2026/#respond Wed, 22 May 2024 05:27:19 +0000 https://www.trendforce.com/news/?p=9511 Continue reading ]]> As the demands for AI and HPC processors keep their momentum, driving the usage of advanced packaging technologies, TSMC revealed plans to further expand its chip-on-wafer-on-substrate (CoWoS) capacity at a compound annual rate (CAGR) of over 60% until at least 2026, according to a report by AnandTech.

According to its latest roadmap revealed at the company’s European Technology Symposium earlier, TSMC would now be able to more than quadruple its CoWoS capacity from 2023 levels by the end of 2026, the report indicated.

Last year, the foundry leader announced plans to more than double its CoWoS capacity by the end of 2024, but now it needs to be more ambitious, not only to meet existing demand but also address the future market.

TSMC is also preparing additional versions of CoWoS (specifically CoWoS-L) to support building system-in-packages (SiPs) with up to eight reticle sizes, just in case that increasing CoWoS capacity four-fold over three years may still be insufficient, the report said.

In addition to CoWoS, TSMC also plans to expand its system-on-integrated chips (SoIC) capacity at a CAGR of 100% through 2026, indicating that its SoIC capacity will increase eight-fold from 2023 levels by the end of 2026, according to AnandTech.

When it comes to the latest overseas expansion plans regarding major Taiwanese foundries, TSMC’s Kumamoto Fab 1, a joint investment between TSMC, Sony Semiconductor Solutions Corporation, and Denso Corporation, was inaugurated in February. Construction of the second Kumamoto fab is slated to begin by the end of 2024, with operations starting by the end of 2027.

UMC, Taiwan’s second-largest wafer foundry, announced on May 21st the arrival of the first equipment tools for phase 3 expansion at its Fab12i located in Singapore. According to a report by CNA, UMC anticipates the construction of the facility will be completed by mid-year. However, due to adjustments in customer orders, mass production has been delayed by six months to early 2026.

In October, 2023, Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing Corporation (PSMC), in collaboration with SBI Holdings, Inc., announced plans regarding its first semiconductor wafer plant in Japan, which is expected to be located in the Second Northern Sendai Central Industrial Park in Ohira Village, Kurokawa District, Miyagi Prefecture (Second Northern Sendai Central Industrial Park).

Previous reports indicated that PSMC plans to construct multiple plants, with the first phase potentially starting construction as early as 2024, involving an investment of around JPY 400 billion (USD 2.6 billion).

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(Photo credit: TSMC)

 

Please note that this article cites information from AnandTech and CNA.
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[News] Intel’s Lunar Lake Bundled Memory Reportedly Causes Uproar in the PC Supply Chain https://www.trendforce.com/news/2024/05/22/news-intels-lunar-lake-bundled-memory-reportedly-causes-uproar-in-the-pc-supply-chain/ https://www.trendforce.com/news/2024/05/22/news-intels-lunar-lake-bundled-memory-reportedly-causes-uproar-in-the-pc-supply-chain/#respond Wed, 22 May 2024 03:31:13 +0000 https://www.trendforce.com/news/?p=9504 Continue reading ]]> On May 20th, Intel announced that the release date for its next-generation processor, Lunar Lake, has been moved up, with official shipments expected in the third quarter. The NPU performance is set to reach 45 TOPS. However, per a report from Economic Daily News, the industry is puzzled by the fact that this chip is bundled with 16GB and 32GB memory, with Intel holding the specification control tightly. Reportedly, this move has disrupted the industry order, and PC manufacturers are said to be privately expressing their dissatisfaction.

It is expected that 20 brands will release 80 models featuring this processor. Combined shipments of Metro Lake and Lunar Lake this year are projected to reach 40 million units. Unlike the previous generation, Lunar Lake’s packaging design integrates LPDDR5x memory into a single package, emphasizing low power consumption.

On May 20th, Microsoft launched its next-generation AI PCs, equipped with a more powerful AI assistant, Copilot, and new features. It also established a new standard for AI PC architecture, “Copilot+ PC.” The initial products all feature Qualcomm’s “Snapdragon X Elite” processors designed with Arm architecture.

Qualcomm’s CPUs in the new PCs are equipped with a Neural Processing Engine (NPE) designed specifically for AI applications, boasting 45 TOPS. This, as per another report from the Economic Daily News, results in a 58% increase in speed and extended battery life compared to Apple’s latest top-tier MacBook, which uses the M3 chip. Additionally, they support Microsoft’s AI chatbot, Copilot.

Intel, on the other hand, made a rare announcement, revealing that its next-generation Lunar Lake will have a total performance exceeding 100 TOPS, with the NPU alone exceeding 45 TOPS—nearly three times that of the previous generation. Additionally, the CPU and GPU combined computing power will exceed 60 TOPS, making it the second qualified processor for Microsoft’s Copilot+ PC platform.

However, it is important to note that according to Intel’s plans, the new generation processors Ultra 5/7/9 will be bundled with memory and shipped together with the CPU. Specifically, the high-end Ultra 9 will be bundled with 32GB of memory, while the Ultra 5 and Ultra 7 will have 16GB and 32GB versions. Per Microsoft’s recommendations, AI PCs need at least 16GB of memory. While Intel’s approach meets this requirement, it limits the ability of brands to adjust specifications and leaves memory manufacturers out of the loop.

In simpler terms, there is still a demand for 8GB memory in lower-end notebooks, and high-end laptops can require more than 64GB of memory. However, Intel’s Lunar Lake constraints make it difficult to plan both high-end and entry-level versions. Industry sources cited in the same report from Economic Daily News indicate that Intel’s next-generation Arrow Lake will not be bundled with memory.

Reportedly, industry sources also state that procurement contracts with memory suppliers have traditionally been long-term, accounting for annual memory requirements. Now, Intel’s bundling of memory with its single platform changes the industry’s ecosystem. Previously, PC brands would develop various combinations (CPU + memory + SSD capacity) for their product lines. However, with Intel defining five laptop CPU + memory specifications, it limits the customization capabilities of PC brands.

With Intel launching Lunar Lake early, AMD is set to counter with its next-generation AI processor Ryzen series named Strix Point in the fourth quarter. The Strix Point processor will feature AI processing power exceeding 50 TOPS, and there will also be an APU, Strix Halo, expected to launch around the end of the year with performance exceeding 60 TOPS, making it a significant player in AI computing power.

CEO Pat Gelsinger recently demonstrated the performance of the Lunar Lake processor, emphasizing that its total AI workload exceeds 100 TOPS, with the NPU contributing 45 TOPS. The CPU features Lion Cove architecture P-cores and Skymont architecture E-cores, while the GPU and CPU together provide over 60 TOPS of computing power. This means Intel’s chip AI performance will be more than three times that of current products, with a total combined performance exceeding 100 TOPS.

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(Photo credit: Intel)

Please note that this article cites information from Intel and Economic Daily News.

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[Insights] US Imposes Another Measures, Raises Tariffs on Chinese Electric Cars to 100% https://www.trendforce.com/news/2024/05/22/insights-us-imposes-another-measures-raises-tariffs-on-chinese-electric-cars-to-100/ https://www.trendforce.com/news/2024/05/22/insights-us-imposes-another-measures-raises-tariffs-on-chinese-electric-cars-to-100/#respond Wed, 22 May 2024 01:30:10 +0000 https://www.trendforce.com/news/?p=9460 Continue reading ]]> On May 14, 2024, the US administration announced that it would increase tariffs on Chinese new energy vehicles from 25% to 100%. Additionally, tariffs will be imposed on Chinese products such as batteries, chips, medical supplies, and critical mineral raw materials, affecting an estimated total value of USD 18 billion in Chinese imports.

The United States believes that China’s substantial state subsidies and excess production capacity allow Chinese products to penetrate the European and American markets at low costs.

TrendForce Insights:

  1. Impact of Tariff Increase on Chinese Electric Car Imports in the US Market Is Minimal

According to sales statistics from the first quarter of 2023 to the first quarter of 2024 in the US electric car market, only Geely, among the Chinese electric car groups actively operating in the US market, holds a market share of merely 2%.

By the first quarter of 2024, this share had further declined to just 1%. In fact, Chinese automakers, anticipating such measures, have already shifted their focus away from the US market to regions such as Europe, Southeast Asia, Latin America, and Russia. Therefore, the current increase in tariffs is expected to have minimal impact on China’s new energy car industry.

  1. Consumers Focus on Electric Car Prices, Not Nationality

The affordability of Chinese electric cars stems from China’s long-standing high level of self-sufficiency in the entire electric vehicle supply chain, from complete vehicles to components, especially in the battery sector, which accounts for the highest proportion of total vehicle costs.

Coupled with government subsidy policies aimed at attracting consumers to purchase electric cars and increasing the overall market size, this further enhances the cost advantage of various components.

Additionally, according to data released by Gallup in April 2024, only 36% of people with an annual income below USD 40,000 would seriously consider purchasing an electric car, while those with incomes between USD 40,000 and USD 100,000 or more have a purchase intention of 45-50%.

Therefore, the high cost of electric cars remains the primary reason why consumers are currently unwilling to switch to electric cars, rather than being a matter of the car’s “nationality.”

  1. Is the Decoupling Strategy for Electric Vehicles from China a Cure or a Poison?

The US administration’s decision to increase tariffs can protect the US fossil fuel car industry in the short term. With consumers unable to access cheap Chinese electric cars, they may opt for US fossil fuel cars.

While this measure may prolong the life of the US automotive industry chain, it could hinder both US and global carbon reduction goals and reduce the international competitiveness of US car manufacturers in the electric vehicle sector. 

Stellantis CEO Carlos Tavares has stated that increasing tariffs will not truly protect his company, and the only option is to continue fighting. Therefore, while higher tariffs serve as a protective shield for the domestic automotive industry chain, car manufacturers ultimately still need to face the harsh reality of global market competition.

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[COMPUTEX 2024] VR and AR Devices Undergo Further Transformation to Shape a New Vision for Virtual-Real Integration https://www.trendforce.com/news/2024/05/22/computex-2024-as-hype-fades-more-hardware-and-content-are-needed-to-strengthen-the-foundation-of-the-metaverse/ https://www.trendforce.com/news/2024/05/22/computex-2024-as-hype-fades-more-hardware-and-content-are-needed-to-strengthen-the-foundation-of-the-metaverse/#respond Wed, 22 May 2024 00:00:09 +0000 https://www.trendforce.com/news/?p=9423 Continue reading ]]> Just as generative AI is revolutionizing industries worldwide today by creating new opportunities, the concept of the Metaverse in 2021 was similarly embraced by technology giants as a strategic goal and vision for the future of the entire tech sector.

Microsoft, for instance, targeted the corporate segment of the Metaverse, showcasing the use of its mixed reality (MR) device, HoloLens 2, in manufacturing operations. NVIDIA introduced the Omniverse platform for image simulation, thereby facilitating the development of virtual environments within the Metaverse. There were also rumors about Google and Apple launching new virtual reality (VR) head-mounted devices. Perhaps most notably, Facebook’s name change to Meta was a clear indication of its commitment to this emerging field.

As Hype Fades, More Hardware and Content Are Needed to Strengthen the Foundation of the Metavers

Despite initial market optimism, the reality was that wearable technology had not reached maturity, and the quality of virtual content experiences fell short of expectations. As a result, there was insufficient momentum to drive the Metaverse forward in subsequent market developments. Many tech companies established departments dedicated to the Metaverse, but due to lackluster results and issues with resource allocation, these departments often faced workforce reductions, downsizing, or even complete dissolution.

Declining enthusiasm for the Metaverse primarily stems not from a flaw in the idea of blending virtual and real worlds, but from the grandiosity of its concept. The essence of Industry 4.0, after all, revolves around enhancing production efficiency through the data-driven integration of physical and digital realms.

This is a proven approach. Nevertheless, the challenge with the Metaverse lies in its ambitious scale. Without adequate software and hardware support, efforts to expand and implement it often fall short, yielding minimal benefits and, thus, diminishing its commercial appeal.

Essentially, the widespread adoption of technologies like head-mounted devices and a rich content library are vital for industry growth. In response, companies that develop VR and augment reality (AR) in recent years have pivoted their focus from the broader environmental framework towards improving wearable devices and creating engaging content. In doing so, they aim to boost the practical value of adopting VR and AR.

From Virtual Interaction to Spatial Computing, the Scope of Applications for Head-mounted Devices Continues to Expand

In 2023, according to TrendForce’s analysis, Meta’s Quest series dominated the global VR and MR device market, securing nearly 70% of total device shipments. This significant market share places Meta at the forefront, with Sony’s PS VR series ranking second, followed by other manufacturers like PICO and HTC. Entering the fray in 2024, Apple introduced its Vision Pro, which is expected to claim a 6% share of the global market.

Meta’s latest offering, the Quest 3, has adopted pancake lenses that enhance image clarity while slimming down the device’s profile. It is powered by the Qualcomm Snapdragon XR2 Gen 2, a (SoC) tailored for head-mounted devices that significantly boosts GPU and AI processing capabilities.

The Quest 3 marks a pivotal shift for Meta from VR to MR. Equipped with dual front-facing RGB cameras and advanced features like depth projection and room mapping, the Quest 3, alongside the higher-end Quest Pro, supports a range of MR applications. Additionally, the tracking capabilities of the Quest 3 are augmented by computer vision and machine learning technologies. With Meta’s ongoing collaboration with LG on new product development, the focus is now on extended reality (XR) applications linked with the television ecosystem.

Apple’s Vision Pro, which was launched in February 2024, has reignited market interest in VR.

This device fills a previously unaddressed gap in Apple’s portfolio by offering a VR head-mounted device that integrates seamlessly with iPhones, iPads, and other devices within Apple’s ecosystem, thereby enabling functions like image and video projection onto larger screens. The introduction of the Vision Pro brought the concept of spatial computing into the limelight, enabling users to interact with virtual objects in a natural and intuitive way and thus infusing fresh perspectives into the industry.

Moreover, at CES 2024, Sony unveiled an XR head-mounted device dubbed a “spatial content creation system.” Like the Apple Vision Pro, this device leverages the advantages of spatial computing. It’s designed as a commercial tool for developing 3D content, offering users precise and intuitive control over virtual objects, thereby simplifying the process of creating 3D models.

From Taiwan, ASUS has recently introduced its first AR glasses, the AirVision M1. These glasses are designed to function as a secondary screen, ideal for use outdoors or in situations where extra screens are necessary at home.

Taiwan-based Companies Expand into the Supply Chain for Headsets, Focusing on Optics, Chips, and Assembly

TrendForce analyst P. K. Tseng said that a critical aspect of the transformation for VR head-mounted devices is the increasing need for key components that are lighter and more compact, particularly pancake lenses, which are gaining importance due to their contribution to volume reduction.

However, the technological complexity and higher cost of manufacturing these advanced optical components mean that suppliers, such as GSEO and Young Optics, are relatively limited. This presents a blue ocean market opportunity, likely attracting more manufacturers to develop pancake lens components.

Furthermore, the trend is expected to drive demand for smaller-sized panels. While mainstream LCD panels continue to be widely used, the advent of devices like the Apple Vision Pro is anticipated to increase the adoption rate of Micro OLED panels.

Additionally, as standalone virtual devices become more mainstream in product design, and as the need for processing large volumes of image and sensor data independently by SoCs grows, demand will rise for dedicated chips used in VR and AR devices. For instance, MediaTek is rumored to be developing an exclusive AR chip for Meta.

System or device assembly is a key area of focus for Taiwan-based companies, particularly evident in the efforts of major ODMs like Quanta and Foxconn. These companies are enhancing their VR and AR hardware manufacturing through various strategies, including partnerships, mergers and acquisitions, and investment initiatives.

In the VR device supply chain, the strength of system assemblers lies in their ability to offer comprehensive product solutions, which expands the options available to prospective clients. The assembly of VR and AR devices presents unique challenges due to the necessity for high-quality image rendering and real-time motion capture. Numerous components are involved in the process.

Not all VR and AR device brands can develop head-mounted devices completely in-house, as demonstrated by companies like Meta and Sony. For newer market entrants, securing a comprehensive product solution that allows for future customization is a more desirable strategy. This demands that system assemblers have significant expertise in relevant technologies and ODM capabilities. As such, as opportunities in the VR and AR market continue to emerge, these assemblers are well-prepared to offer solutions for head-mounted devices.

Generative AI and Added-Value from Applications Will Sustain Future Growth Momentum

Beyond hardware, the focus on creating more content and valuable applications will be a major topic in the next phase of VR industry’s development, with generative AI poised to play a pivotal role.

Taking gaming as an example, VR game development is known to be exceedingly time-consuming, requiring developers to dedicate substantial amounts of time to coding. As a result, the games often lack diversity, customization, and meaningful game mechanics.

However, leveraging generative AI can expedite the game development process without sacrificing quality or increasing costs. Recent market analyses suggest that the adoption of generative AI could significantly reduce the time required to create XR learning modules from the 5-10 days typically seen in 2021 to less than 30 minutes today.

Consequently, major game engine providers like Unity are seizing this business opportunity. In mid-2023, Unity introduced a suite of generative AI development solutions tailored for VR game production. These solutions can be employed to create characters, objects, assets, and sound effects, thus significantly reducing development costs.

According to TrendForce’s research, global shipments of VR head-mounted devices are projected to register a slight year-on-year drop of 1.8%, but the annual total is still expected to surpass 9.3 million units.

Furthermore, with the releases of many new products ranging from chips and peripherals to complete systems, many of which were showcased at this year’s CES and MWC, there is strong bullish sentiment regarding the development of the VR industry. The strategies of major manufacturers for VR and AR devices also demonstrate intense efforts to explore new use cases beyond existing applications, or to expand into other commercial sectors such as remote assistance, virtual learning, and simulation training.

Additionally, in many countries, VR and AR are now being incorporated into medical treatments, such as psychological therapy and physical rehabilitation. Although the progress in promoting VR and AR technologies still depends on factors like pricing, specifications, and user experience, the expansion into new application markets is a positive development, particularly given the current shortage of content.

Therefore, the added-value provided by new applications will be a key determinant of the VR market’s growth momentum. Furthermore, the efficiency of using generative AI in content production holds the potential to propel device manufacturers into the next technological generation.

Join the AI grand event at Computex 2024, alongside CEOs from AMD, Intel, Qualcomm, and ARM. Discover more about this expo! https://bit.ly/44Gm0pK

(Photo credit: Apple)

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[News] Google to Add EUR 1 Billion for AI Business in Reaction to CSPs’ Strong Demands https://www.trendforce.com/news/2024/05/22/news-google-to-add-eur-1-billion-for-ai-business-in-reaction-to-csps-strong-demands/ https://www.trendforce.com/news/2024/05/22/news-google-to-add-eur-1-billion-for-ai-business-in-reaction-to-csps-strong-demands/#respond Tue, 21 May 2024 23:30:52 +0000 https://www.trendforce.com/news/?p=9499 Continue reading ]]> On May 20, a report by Reuters revealed that Google plans to invest an additional Euro 1 billion in its data center park in Finland. This move aims to expand the scale and boost its AI business growth in Europe.

The report notes that in recent years, many data centers have been established in Nordic countries due to the cool climate, tax incentives, and ample supply of renewable energy. Finland’s wind power capacity has seen significant growth over these years, up by 75% to 5,677 megawatts by 2022, which brings electricity prices even down to negative values on particularly windy days.

Thus, Data center operators like Google have been taken advantage of this renewable energy, and already signed long-term wind power purchase agreements in Finland.

Driven by the AI wave, cloud providers such as Microsoft, Google, Meta, and Amazon have an increasingly robust demand for AI servers and data centers.

According to a previous forecast by TrendForce, considering the global CSPs’ demands for high-end AI servers (Those equipped with NVIDIA, AMD, or other high-end ASIC chips included) in 2024, the demands from four major U.S. CSPs: Microsoft, Google, AWS, and Meta are expected to account for 20.2%, 16.6%, 16%, and 10.8% of global demand respectively, reigning over the global market with a total proportion of more than 60%.

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(Photo credit: Google)

Please note that this article cites information from WeChat account DRAMeXchange and Reuters.

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[News] Samsung Leadership Change, Young Hyun Jun to Head Device Solutions Division https://www.trendforce.com/news/2024/05/21/news-samsung-leadership-change-young-hyun-jun-to-head-device-solutions-division/ https://www.trendforce.com/news/2024/05/21/news-samsung-leadership-change-young-hyun-jun-to-head-device-solutions-division/#respond Tue, 21 May 2024 08:43:04 +0000 https://www.trendforce.com/news/?p=9487 Continue reading ]]> On May 21st, Samsung Electronics announced that Young Hyun Jun will take over as the head of the Device Solutions (DS) division, replacing the current leader, Kyung Kye-Hyun, who will now lead the Samsung Advanced Institute of Technology (SAIT) and the Future Business Division, overseeing the company’s global operations of the Memory, System LSI and Foundry business units.

Young Hyun Jun initially joined Samsung Electronics in 2000, focusing on the development and strategic marketing of DRAM and flash memory. He has been in charge of the memory business since 2014, served as CEO of Samsung SDI, the battery division, in 2017, and led the Future Business Division starting in 2024.

In the press release, Samsung expressed confidence that Young Hyun Jun will strengthen its competitiveness amid an uncertain global business environment.

Upon approval by the board of directors and shareholders, Young Hyun Jun will also be appointed as CEO of Samsung. Samsung employs a dual CEO system, with one CEO responsible for the semiconductor division and the other for the device experience division, which includes the mobile and visual display business groups.

At the time of this personnel announcement, Samsung is striving to catch up with its competitor SK Hynix in the AI memory sector. SK Hynix currently leads the market for high bandwidth memory (HBM), a crucial component for AI computing. SK Hynix previously stated that its HBM production capacity for this year and next year is already sold out.

TrendForce has analyzed that the current HBM3 supply for NVIDIA’s H100 solution is primarily met by SK hynix, leading to a supply shortfall in meeting burgeoning AI market demands. Samsung’s entry into NVIDIA’s supply chain with its 1Znm HBM3 products in late 2023, though initially minor, signifies its breakthrough in this segment.

Whether Samsung, led by Young Hyun Jun with his extensive memory experience, can regain ground in its competition with SK Hynix is under close observation.

Per a report from Reuters, a source has noted that since Samsung’s personnel changes typically occur at the beginning of the year, it is unusual to replace a high-ranking executive like this in the middle of the year.

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(Photo credit: Samsung)

Please note that this article cites information from Samsung Electronics and Reuters.

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[News] HBM Boom May Lead to DRAM Shortages in the Second Half of the Year https://www.trendforce.com/news/2024/05/21/news-hbm-boom-may-lead-to-dram-shortages-in-the-second-half-of-the-year/ https://www.trendforce.com/news/2024/05/21/news-hbm-boom-may-lead-to-dram-shortages-in-the-second-half-of-the-year/#respond Tue, 21 May 2024 05:59:44 +0000 https://www.trendforce.com/news/?p=9429 Continue reading ]]> Memory giants Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron are all actively investing in high-bandwidth memory (HBM) production. Industry sources cited in a report from Commercial Times indicate that due to capacity crowding effects, DRAM products may face shortages in the second half of the year.

According to TrendForce, the three largest DRAM suppliers are increasing wafer input for advanced processes. Following a rise in memory contract prices, companies have boosted their capital investments, with capacity expansion focusing on the second half of this year. It is expected that wafer input for 1alpha nm and above processes will account for approximately 40% of total DRAM wafer input by the end of the year.

HBM production will be prioritized due to its profitability and increasing demand. Regarding the latest developments in HBM, TrendForce indicates that HBM3e will become the market mainstream this year, with shipments concentrated in the second half of the year.

Currently, SK Hynix remains the primary supplier, along with Micron, both utilizing 1beta nm processes and already shipping to NVIDIA. Samsung, using a 1alpha nm process, is expected to complete qualification in the second quarter and begin deliveries mid-year.

The growing content per unit in PCs, servers, and smartphones is driving up the consumption of advanced process capacity each quarter. Servers, in particular, are seeing the highest capacity increase—primarily driven by AI servers with content of 1.75 TB per unit. With the mass production of new platforms like Intel’s Sapphire Rapids and AMD’s Genoa, which require DDR5 memory, DDR5 penetration is expected to exceed 50% by the end of the year.

As HBM3e shipments are expected to be concentrated in the second half of the year—coinciding with the peak season for memory demand—market demand for DDR5 and LPDDR5(X) is also expected to increase. With a higher proportion of wafer input allocated to HBM production, the output of advanced processes will be limited. Consequently, capacity allocation in the second half of the year will be crucial in determining whether supply can meet demand.

Samsung expects existing facilities to be fully utilized by the end of 2024. The new P4L plant is slated for completion in 2025, and the Line 15 facility will undergo a process transition from 1Y nm to 1beta nm and above.

The capacity of SK Hynix’s M16 plant is expected to expand next year, while the M15X plant is also planned for completion in 2025, with mass production starting at the end of next year.

Micron’s facility in Taiwan will return to full capacity next year, with future expansions focused on the US. The Boise facility is expected to be completed in 2025, with equipment installations following and mass production planned for 2026.

With the expected volume production of NVIDIA’s GB200 in 2025, featuring HBM3e with 192/384GB specifications, HBM output is anticipated to nearly double. Each major manufacturer will invest in HBM4 development, prioritizing HBM in their capacity planning. Consequently, due to capacity crowding effects, there may be shortages in DRAM supply.

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(Photo credit: Samsung)

Please note that this article cites information from Commercial Times.

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