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HBM Prices to Increase by 5–10% in 2025, Accounting for Over 30% of Total DRAM Value, Says TrendForce

2024/05/06

Semiconductors

Specifically, HBM’s share of total DRAM bit capacity is estimated to rise from 2% in 2023 to 5% in 2024 and surpass 10% by 2025. In terms of market value, HBM is projected to account for more than 20% of the total DRAM market value starting in 2024, potentially exceeding 30% by 2025.

Press Releases
DRAM Manufacturers Gradually Resume Production, Impact on Total Q2 DRAM Output Estimated to Be Less Than 1%, Says TrendForce

2024/04/10

Semiconductors

Following in the wake of an earthquake that struck on April 3rd, TrendForce undertook an in-depth analysis of its effects on the DRAM industry, uncovering a sector that has shown remarkable resilience and faced minimal interruptions. Despite some damage and the necessity for inspections or disposal of wafers among suppliers, the facilities’ strong earthquake preparedness of the facilities has kept the overall impact to a minimum.

Press Releases
Minimal Initial Damage to DRAM and Foundry Production Lines Following Major Earthquake in Taiwan on April 3; Details of Losses Still Under Assessment, Says TrendForce

2024/04/03

Semiconductors

In the wake of a 7.2-magnitude earthquake off the eastern coast of Taiwan at 7:58 AM on April 3rd, TrendForce immediately investigated the damage and operational status of various manufacturers. The DRAM industry, primarily located in the northern and central parts of Taiwan, and the foundry industry, spread across the north, central, and southern regions of Taiwan, appear to have sustained minimal initial damage.

Press Releases
Suppliers Aim to Raise Contract Prices, But With Uncertain Demand, 2Q24 DRAM Price Increase Expected to Narrow to 3–8%, Says TrendForce

2024/03/26

Semiconductors

Additionally, significant price increases by suppliers since 4Q23 are expected to further diminish the momentum for inventory restocking. As a result, DRAM contract prices for the second quarter are projected to see a modest increase of 3–8%, says TrendForce.

Press Releases
2024 HBM Supply Bit Growth Estimated to Reach 260%, Making Up 14% of DRAM Industry, Says TrendForce

2024/03/18

Semiconductors

TrendForce reports that significant capital investments have occurred in the memory sector due to the high ASP and profitability of HBM. Senior Vice President Avril Wu notes that by the end of 2024, the DRAM industry is expected to allocate approximately 250K/m (14%) of total capacity to producing HBM TSV, with an estimated annual supply bit growth of around 260%. Additionally, HBM’s revenue share within the DRAM industry—around 8.4% in 2023—is projected to increase to 20.1% by the end of 2024.

Press Releases
HBM3 Initially Exclusively Supplied by SK Hynix, Samsung Rallies Fast After AMD Validation, Says TrendForce

2024/03/13

Semiconductors

TrendForce highlights the current landscape of the HBM market, which as of early 2024, is primarily focused on HBM3. NVIDIA’s upcoming B100 or H200 models will incorporate advanced HBM3e, signaling the next step in memory technology. The challenge, however, is the supply bottleneck caused by both CoWoS packaging constraints and the inherently long production cycle of HBM—extending the timeline from wafer initiation to the final product beyond two quarters.

Press Releases
AI’s Rocketing Demand to Drive Server DRAM—2024 Predictions Show a 17.3% Annual Increase in Content per Box, Outpacing Other Applications, Says TrendForce

2024/02/05

Semiconductors

The server sector is expected to see the most significant growth, with content per box for server DRAM projected to rise by 17.3% annually, while enterprise SSDs are forecast to increase by 13.2%. The market penetration rate for AI smartphones and AI PCs is expected to experience noticeable growth in 2025 and is anticipated to further drive the average content per box upward.

Press Releases
Sustained Price Rally for DRAM and NAND Flash into 4Q24 Is Possible If Suppliers Prudently Control Output, Says TrendForce

2024/01/19

Semiconductors

TrendForce’s latest analysis reveals that the downswing of DRAM contract prices, which had lasted for eight consecutive quarters since 4Q21, was finally reversed in 4Q23. Likewise, NAND Flash rebounded in 3Q23 after four quarters of decline. The persistence of this rally in memory prices during 2024 will largely hinge on suppliers’ ongoing and effective control over their capacity utilization rates.

Press Releases
Q4 DRAM Contract Prices Set to Rise, with Estimated Quarterly Increase of 3-8%, Says TrendForce

2023/10/13

Semiconductors

TrendForce reports indicate a universal price increase for both DRAM and NAND Flash starting in the fourth quarter. DRAM prices, for instance, are projected to see a quarterly surge of about 3-8%.

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